Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
Markets
LePage, 9+ pts
- Yes26%
- No74%
Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $261
LePage, 3+ pts
- Yes42%
- No58%
Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $332.9
LePage, 6+ pts
- Yes40%
- No60%
Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $576.2
LePage, 1+ pts
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $193.2 · Liquidity $193.2
LePage, 12+ pts
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $142.7 · Liquidity $80
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maine's 2nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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