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Minnesota's 2nd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Little, 13+ pts

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $521.1

  • Little, 10+ pts

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $395.4

  • Little, 16+ pts

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $156

  • Little, 1+ pts

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $407

  • Little, 7+ pts

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Little, 4+ pts

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $690

  • Little, 19+ pts

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $168

  • Little, 25+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $381

  • Little, 22+ pts

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $564 · Liquidity $121

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 2nd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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