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North Carolina's 10th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Harrigan, 22+ pts

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $800 · Liquidity $800

  • Harrigan, 19+ pts

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Harrigan, 16+ pts

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $65.7 · Liquidity $65.7

  • Harrigan, 10+ pts

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Harrigan, 25+ pts

    • Yes18%
    • No83%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Harrigan, 28+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Harrigan, 4+ pts

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Harrigan, 7+ pts

    • Yes76%
    • No24%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Harrigan, 13+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No45%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 10th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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