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New Jersey Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Booker, 21+ pts

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Booker, 13+ pts

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $521.6 · Liquidity $415.6

  • Booker, 19+ pts

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $451.8 · Liquidity $338

  • Booker, 11+ pts

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $444.3 · Liquidity $399.3

  • Booker, 15+ pts

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $406.2 · Liquidity $355

  • Booker, 29+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $287.9 · Liquidity $272.9

  • Booker, 17+ pts

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $200.5 · Liquidity $153.5

  • Booker, 9+ pts

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $96 · Liquidity $51

  • Booker, 23+ pts

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $70.4 · Liquidity $50.4

  • Booker, 25+ pts

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $37.5 · Liquidity $23.5

  • Booker, 27+ pts

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $37 · Liquidity $23

  • Booker, 31+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $4 · Liquidity $4

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in New Jersey by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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