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New York's 3rd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Suozzi, 8+ pts

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Suozzi, 5+ pts

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $674.3 · Liquidity $370.3

  • Suozzi, 14+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $465 · Liquidity $365

  • Suozzi, 11+ pts

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $447.1 · Liquidity $86.1

  • Suozzi, 2+ pts

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $210 · Liquidity $200

  • Suozzi, 20+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $78.2 · Liquidity $43.2

  • Suozzi, 17+ pts

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $24.9 · Liquidity $5

  • Suozzi, 23+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 3rd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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