Skip to content
TheKalshiAcademy
EN

New York's 22nd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Mannion, 14+ pts

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Mannion, 11+ pts

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Mannion, 8+ pts

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $440 · Liquidity $430

  • Mannion, 29+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $242 · Liquidity $241

  • Mannion, 17+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $240 · Liquidity $235

  • Mannion, 20+ pts

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $235 · Liquidity $220

  • Mannion, 26+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $80 · Liquidity $40

  • Mannion, 23+ pts

    • Yes40%
    • No60%

    Volume $70 · Liquidity $50

  • Mannion, 5+ pts

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $10

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 22nd District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Politics markets