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Texas's 2nd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Toth, 20+ pts

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $842 · Liquidity $812

  • Toth, 23+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $205 · Liquidity $200

  • Toth, 5+ pts

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $120 · Liquidity $120

  • Toth, 14+ pts

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $55 · Liquidity $55

  • Toth, 8+ pts

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $28.8 · Liquidity $28.8

  • Toth, 11+ pts

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Toth, 2+ pts

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Toth, 17+ pts

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Toth, 26+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 2nd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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