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Virginia's 7th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Vindman, 20+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $730 · Liquidity $725

  • Vindman, 14+ pts

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $718 · Liquidity $618

  • Vindman, 5+ pts

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $532.4 · Liquidity $320

  • Vindman, 8+ pts

    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $205 · Liquidity $205

  • Vindman, 11+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $205 · Liquidity $205

  • Vindman, 17+ pts

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $110 · Liquidity $5

  • Vindman, 29+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Vindman, 23+ pts

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Vindman, 26+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 7th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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