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Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

Markets

  • Shabana Mahmood

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K

  • Rupert Lowe

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $494 · Liquidity $494

  • Nigel Farage

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $30.1 · Liquidity $29.1

  • Kemi Badenoch

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $5.1 · Liquidity $5.1

  • Angela Rayner

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $3 · Liquidity $1

  • Pat McFadden

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Richard Tice

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Mel Stride

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Boris Johnson

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Lucy Powell

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Jonathan Reynolds

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Emma Reynolds

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • James Cleverly

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Rachel Reeves

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Keir Starmer

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Ed Davey

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Jess Phillips

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Wes Streeting

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Louise Haigh

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Yvette Cooper

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Ed Miliband

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Bridget Phillipson

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Lisa Nandy

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Zia Yusuf

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Darren Jones

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • No new person

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Robert Jenrick

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • John Healey

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Al Carns

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Nigel Farage formally holds the position of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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