Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Markets
Shabana Mahmood
- Yes21%
- No79%
Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K
Rupert Lowe
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $494 · Liquidity $494
Nigel Farage
- Yes27%
- No73%
Volume $30.1 · Liquidity $29.1
Kemi Badenoch
- Yes22%
- No78%
Volume $5.1 · Liquidity $5.1
Angela Rayner
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $3 · Liquidity $1
Pat McFadden
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $1 · Liquidity $1
Richard Tice
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $1 · Liquidity $1
Mel Stride
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Boris Johnson
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Lucy Powell
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Jonathan Reynolds
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Emma Reynolds
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
James Cleverly
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Rachel Reeves
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Keir Starmer
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Ed Davey
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Jess Phillips
- Yes4%
- No97%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Wes Streeting
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Louise Haigh
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Yvette Cooper
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Ed Miliband
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Bridget Phillipson
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Lisa Nandy
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Zia Yusuf
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Darren Jones
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
No new person
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Robert Jenrick
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
John Healey
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Al Carns
- Yes4%
- No97%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If Nigel Farage formally holds the position of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?
No: 99%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2035
Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
Republican party: 47%
24h vol $8 · Ends Nov 2, 2033
Who will be the next new Speaker of the House?
Hakeem Jeffries: 95%
24h vol $779.4 · Ends Jan 1, 2031
Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
Avigdor Lieberman: 24%
24h vol $6.8 · Ends Oct 28, 2030
Next Canadian federal election winner?
Liberal Party: 55%
24h vol $0 · Ends Oct 15, 2030
Turkish presidential election winner?
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 56%
24h vol $0 · Ends May 7, 2030
Who will become Prime Minister of India after next general election?
Narendra Modi: 47%
24h vol $0 · Ends Apr 30, 2030
Next German federal election winner?
AfD: 82%
24h vol $0 · Ends Mar 25, 2030
Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
Michael Faulkender: 33%
24h vol $3 · Ends Jan 8, 2030
2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner
Marco Rubio: 12%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 6, 2030
EU loses a member before 2030?
No: 94%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
No: 78%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030

