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Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Markets

  • Anthropic

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $273.3K · Liquidity $128.4K

  • OpenAI

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $216.6K · Liquidity $87.1K

  • Google

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $205.3K · Liquidity $116.2K

  • xAI

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $179.3K · Liquidity $121.8K

  • DeepSeek

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $93K · Liquidity $70.6K

  • Moonshot AI

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $81K · Liquidity $66K

  • Z.ai

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $68.8K · Liquidity $68K

  • Alibaba

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $52.2K · Liquidity $52.2K

  • Baidu

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $16.3K · Liquidity $16.3K

Resolution rules

If OpenAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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