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Best AI at the end of 2026?

Markets

  • Claude

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $3M · Liquidity $1.4M

  • ChatGPT

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $2.9M · Liquidity $1.4M

  • Gemini

    • Yes38%
    • No62%

    Volume $2.7M · Liquidity $1.3M

  • Grok

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $2M · Liquidity $1.2M

  • Muse

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.8M · Liquidity $962.9K

  • Qwen

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.1M · Liquidity $689K

  • Ernie

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $898.7K · Liquidity $587.6K

  • Kimi

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $693.6K · Liquidity $525K

Resolution rules

If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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