Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
Markets
OpenAI
- Yes11%
- No89%
Volume $8.6K · Liquidity $3.4K
Meta
- Yes90%
- No10%
Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $3.3K
Resolution rules
If Meta's top model has a higher Arena Score than OpenAI's top model on the LM Arena text leaderboard on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Tech & Science markets
Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
Alibaba: 49%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026
Anthropic: 47%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude: 50%
24h vol $65.2K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Denver, CO: 94%
24h vol $8.8K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
At least 50%: 99%
24h vol $107.2 · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic: 77%
24h vol $42.1 · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
OpenAI: 85%
24h vol $0 · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Tesla Optimus released this year?
No: 93%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
Before Dec 31, 2026: 52%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
Before January 1, 2027: 7%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
No: 98%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
Before Jan 1, 2027: 33%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027