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Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?

Markets

  • Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $28.5K · Liquidity $12.8K

Resolution rules

If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people residing on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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