Will Russia name the pathogen in the Irkutsk pneumonia case in Oct 2026?
Markets
Will Russia name the pathogen behind the Irkutsk plague lab death before Nov 1, 2026?
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $17.6K · Liquidity $4.7K
Resolution rules
If Rospotrebnadzor announces the identification of a specific pathogen as the cause of the fatal pneumonia of an Irkutsk Anti-Plague Research Institute employee before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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