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What will Satya Nadella say during NYT DealBook Summit?

Markets

  • Token

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $113 · Liquidity $113

  • Agent / Agentic

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $105 · Liquidity $105

  • Data Center

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $105 · Liquidity $105

  • OpenAI

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $45 · Liquidity $45

  • GitHub

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $13 · Liquidity $13

  • Azure

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $12 · Liquidity $12

  • Event does not qualify

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Compute

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Copilot

    • Yes80%
    • No21%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Cloud

    • Yes60%
    • No41%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Anthropic / Claude

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Google / Gemini

    • Yes23%
    • No78%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • ROI / Return On Investment

    • Yes23%
    • No78%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Security

    • Yes59%
    • No42%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Cowork

    • Yes36%
    • No65%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Containment

    • Yes27%
    • No74%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • AGI

    • Yes36%
    • No65%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Nuclear

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Satya Nadella says Copilot as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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