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Germany’s government budget balance in 2026

Markets

  • Above -5.0% of GDP

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $13.8K · Liquidity $2.8K

  • Above -4.5% of GDP

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $9.9K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Above -3.5% of GDP

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $6.4K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Above -4.0% of GDP

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • Above -3.0% of GDP

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $234 · Liquidity $100

  • Above -2.5% of GDP

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $102 · Liquidity $51

  • Above -2.0% of GDP

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Germany’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -5.0% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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