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Japan’s government budget balance in 2026

Markets

  • Above -0.5% of GDP

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Above -1.0% of GDP

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $4.7K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Above -1.5% of GDP

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Above -2.0% of GDP

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $275.3 · Liquidity $0.1

  • Above -3.5% of GDP

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $250 · Liquidity $100

  • Above -3.0% of GDP

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $250 · Liquidity $75

  • Above -2.5% of GDP

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Japan’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -3.5% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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