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United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026

Markets

  • Above -5.5% of GDP

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $14.8K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Above -5.0% of GDP

    • Yes83%
    • No17%

    Volume $13.2K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • Above -4.5% of GDP

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $10.9K · Liquidity $4.8K

  • Above -3.5% of GDP

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $6.8K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Above -4.0% of GDP

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $4K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • Above -2.5% of GDP

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $670.6 · Liquidity $634.6

  • Above -3.0% of GDP

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $0.2 · Liquidity $0.1

Resolution rules

If the United Kingdom’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -5.5% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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