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France’s government budget balance in 2026

Markets

  • Above -5.0% of GDP

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $3.7K

  • Above -6.5% of GDP

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $225

  • Above -5.5% of GDP

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $947.1 · Liquidity $285.3

  • Above -6.0% of GDP

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $406.1 · Liquidity $50.8

  • Above -4.0% of GDP

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Above -3.5% of GDP

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above -4.5% of GDP

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -6.5% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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