AfD in a German state government?
Markets
Before Jan 1, 2027
- Yes44%
- No56%
Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $2.1K
Before Jul 1, 2027
- Yes64%
- No37%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Before Jan 1, 2028
- Yes79%
- No22%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Before Jan 1, 2029
- Yes91%
- No10%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Before Jan 1, 2030
- Yes95%
- No6%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 41%
24h vol $323.8 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 32%
24h vol $24.9 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will China obtain an EUV machine?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 65%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Congressional salaries increase?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 46%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
No: 72%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will the federal minimum wage be raised?
Before 2030: 31%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will women get a bigger share of NCAA settlement back pay?
No: 73%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
No: 84%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 12%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will any U.S. state change its name?
Before Jan 1, 2030: 6%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
Before 2030: 32%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030
Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?
Yes: 58%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2030

