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AfD in a German state government?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    • Yes64%
    • No37%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes79%
    • No22%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Jan 1, 2029

    • Yes91%
    • No10%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Jan 1, 2030

    • Yes95%
    • No6%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Alternative fuer Deutschland has entered a German state government after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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