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Will any U.S. state change its name?

Markets

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • Before Jan 1, 2029

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $16 · Liquidity $16

  • Before Jan 1, 2030

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If a U.S. state formally changes its official name after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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