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How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

Markets

  • Above 250

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $8.8K · Liquidity $2.8K

  • Above 235

    • Yes68%
    • No32%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Above 241

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Above 220

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Above 229

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $790

  • Above 214

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $744

  • Above 226

    • Yes86%
    • No14%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $974.6

  • Above 238

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $923.9 · Liquidity $755.9

  • Above 232

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $907 · Liquidity $571.7

  • Above 244

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $827.3 · Liquidity $626.5

  • Above 217

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $785.6 · Liquidity $486.2

  • Above 256

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $684.9 · Liquidity $549.9

  • Above 223

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $523.3 · Liquidity $502.2

  • Above 247

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $434.8 · Liquidity $269

  • Above 211

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $252 · Liquidity $252

  • Above 253

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

Resolution rules

If the Democratic party has above 211 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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