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Alberta referendum: Remain vote share?

Markets

  • At least 60%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $21.5K · Liquidity $9K

  • At least 75%

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $15.6K · Liquidity $6.2K

  • At least 70%

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $13.4K · Liquidity $5.7K

  • At least 65%

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $10.5K · Liquidity $4.3K

  • At least 85%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • At least 80%

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $3K

  • At least 77%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $935.4

Resolution rules

If the Remain option’s share of valid votes on Question 10 in Elections Alberta’s first official final referendum results is at least 60% in the October 19, 2026 Alberta referendum, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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