Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?
Markets
Colorado House
- Yes54%
- No46%
Volume $211.4 · Liquidity $211.4
California Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
California Assembly
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Colorado Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Connecticut Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Connecticut House
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Delaware Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Delaware House
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Hawaii Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Illinois Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Illinois House
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Maine Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Maryland Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Nevada Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Nevada Assembly
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
New Mexico House
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
New York Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
New York Assembly
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Oregon Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Oregon House
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Vermont Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Vermont House
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Washington Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Washington House
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the number of California State Senate seats held by Democrats is at least 27 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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