Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?
Markets
Utah Senate
- Yes80%
- No20%
Volume $3K · Liquidity $2.7K
Kansas House
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $1K
New Hampshire Senate
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $100 · Liquidity $100
Arizona Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Arizona House
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Florida Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Florida House
- Yes49%
- No51%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Georgia Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Idaho Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Iowa Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Iowa House
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Missouri Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Missouri House
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Montana Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
North Carolina Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
North Carolina House
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Ohio Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Ohio House
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
South Carolina House
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Texas Senate
- Yes49%
- No51%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Wisconsin Senate
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the number of Arizona State Senate seats held by Republicans is at least 20 after the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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