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Texas Governor: margin of victory

Markets

  • Greg Abbott, ≥12%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $612 · Liquidity $306

  • Gina Hinojosa, 2-4%

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $306 · Liquidity $306

  • Gina Hinojosa, 4-6%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $306 · Liquidity $306

  • Gina Hinojosa, ≥6%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $306 · Liquidity $306

  • Greg Abbott, 0-2%

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $306 · Liquidity $306

  • Greg Abbott, 2-4%

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $306 · Liquidity $306

  • Greg Abbott, 4-6%

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $306 · Liquidity $306

  • Greg Abbott, 6-8%

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $306 · Liquidity $306

  • Greg Abbott, 8-10%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $306 · Liquidity $306

  • Greg Abbott, 10-12%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $306 · Liquidity $306

  • Gina Hinojosa, 0-2%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $306 · Liquidity $306

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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