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Iowa Senate: margin of victory

Markets

  • Josh Turek, 2-4%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • Josh Turek, 4-6%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • Ashley Hinson, 0-2%

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • Ashley Hinson, 2-4%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • Ashley Hinson, 4-6%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • Ashley Hinson, 6-8%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • Ashley Hinson, ≥10%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $98 · Liquidity $49

  • Josh Turek, 0-2%

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $49 · Liquidity $49

  • Josh Turek, 6-8%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $49 · Liquidity $49

  • Ashley Hinson, 8-10%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $49 · Liquidity $49

  • Josh Turek, ≥8%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $49 · Liquidity $49

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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