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Florida Senate: margin of victory

Markets

  • Ashley Moody, 14-16%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $498 · Liquidity $166

  • Angie Nixon, ≥2%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $337 · Liquidity $171

  • Ashley Moody, 12-14%

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $332 · Liquidity $166

  • Ashley Moody, ≥16%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $332 · Liquidity $166

  • Angie Nixon, 0-2%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $332 · Liquidity $166

  • Ashley Moody, 0-2%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $332 · Liquidity $166

  • Ashley Moody, 2-4%

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $332 · Liquidity $166

  • Ashley Moody, 4-6%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $332 · Liquidity $166

  • Ashley Moody, 10-12%

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $319.8 · Liquidity $166

  • Ashley Moody, 6-8%

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $308.9 · Liquidity $166

  • Ashley Moody, 8-10%

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $166 · Liquidity $166

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Ashley Moody in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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