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Kansas Senate: margin of victory

Markets

  • Roger Marshall, ≥10%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $276 · Liquidity $138

  • Adam Hamilton, 2-4%

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $276 · Liquidity $138

  • Roger Marshall, 4-6%

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $276 · Liquidity $138

  • Roger Marshall, 6-8%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $276 · Liquidity $138

  • Roger Marshall, 8-10%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $276 · Liquidity $138

  • Adam Hamilton, 4-6%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $276 · Liquidity $138

  • Adam Hamilton, 6-8%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $276 · Liquidity $138

  • Adam Hamilton, ≥8%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $276 · Liquidity $138

  • Adam Hamilton, 0-2%

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $271.3 · Liquidity $138

  • Roger Marshall, 0-2%

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $266.7 · Liquidity $133.3

  • Roger Marshall, 2-4%

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $138 · Liquidity $138

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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