How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
Markets
5
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $345
Above 5
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $1 · Liquidity $1
4
- Yes3%
- No98%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
1
- Yes52%
- No49%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
2
- Yes36%
- No64%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
3
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Politics markets
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
No: 93%
24h vol $7.3 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
When will a reconciliation bill become law?
Before Jul 1, 2028: 34%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?
At least 1: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
No: 65%
24h vol $224.7 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
RFK Jr. out as HHS Secretary?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 76%
24h vol $205 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 90%
24h vol $185 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 93%
24h vol $23 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
When will the U.S. have a Cabinet-level AI official?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 31%
24h vol $19.3 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
When will Putin and Zelenskyy meet?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 28%
24h vol $6.7 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
When will Canada gain EU associate status?
Before 2028: 17%
24h vol $5 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling?
Yes: 66%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Before Jul 1, 2028: 52%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2029