Will SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules?

Markets

Will SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules?
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $9K · Liquidity $3.9K

Resolution rules

If the U.S. Supreme Court rules that USPS may enforce both the Federal Ballot Mail Portal registration or enrollment requirements and the related outbound federal ballot-mail pre-acceptance verification requirements for elections on or before November 3, 2026 in any Supreme Court proceeding arising from State of California, et al. v. United States Postal Service, et al., D. Mass. No. 1:26-cv-13917-IT before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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Will SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules?

Markets