California's 40th District margin of victory
Markets
Young Kim, 1+ pts
- Yes39%
- No61%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Young Kim, 5+ pts
- Yes20%
- No81%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Young Kim, 10+ pts
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Young Kim, 15+ pts
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Young Kim, 20+ pts
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If Young Kim wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 40th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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