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Louisiana Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Letlow, 13+ pts

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $12.6

  • Letlow, 5+ pts

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $808 · Liquidity $808

  • Letlow, 7+ pts

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $425.5 · Liquidity $225.5

  • Letlow, 9+ pts

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $346 · Liquidity $216

  • Letlow, 25+ pts

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $342 · Liquidity $322

  • Letlow, 11+ pts

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $242.9 · Liquidity $238.9

  • Letlow, 31+ pts

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $228 · Liquidity $225

  • Letlow, 27+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $211 · Liquidity $211

  • Letlow, 21+ pts

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $201 · Liquidity $201

  • Letlow, 29+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $120 · Liquidity $100

  • Letlow, 15+ pts

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $82.2 · Liquidity $47.1

  • Letlow, 19+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $39.7 · Liquidity $5

  • Letlow, 17+ pts

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $33.6 · Liquidity $15.6

  • Letlow, 3+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $10 · Liquidity $10

  • Letlow, 23+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Louisiana by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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