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Michigan's 1st District margin of victory

Markets

  • Bergman, 25+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $491

  • Bergman, 22+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $5.3K · Liquidity $180

  • Bergman, 16+ pts

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $5K · Liquidity $394.8

  • Bergman, 13+ pts

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $710.4

  • Bergman, 10+ pts

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $187

  • Bergman, 19+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $4K · Liquidity $140.2

  • Bergman, 7+ pts

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $957.6

  • Bergman, 4+ pts

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $880

  • Bergman, 28+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $601

  • Bergman, 1+ pts

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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