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Michigan's 4th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Huizenga, 2+ pts

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $581

  • Huizenga, 5+ pts

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Huizenga, 8+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $389.8

  • Huizenga, 17+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

  • Huizenga, 11+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Huizenga, 14+ pts

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 4th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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