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Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Cooke, 4+ pts

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $662 · Liquidity $399.2

  • Cooke, 10+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $435.8 · Liquidity $406

  • Cooke, 7+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No69%

    Volume $371.3 · Liquidity $345.9

  • Cooke, 13+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $73 · Liquidity $73

  • Cooke, 1+ pts

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $35.2 · Liquidity $22.6

  • Cooke, 16+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

Resolution rules

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 3rd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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