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South Carolina Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Graham, 5+ pts

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $57.4K · Liquidity $39.7K

  • Graham, 7+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $36.1K · Liquidity $26.5K

  • Graham, 9+ pts

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $17.2K · Liquidity $15.3K

  • Graham, 3+ pts

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $15.9K · Liquidity $10.4K

  • Graham, 11+ pts

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $9.5K · Liquidity $8.9K

  • Graham, 1+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $7.8K · Liquidity $7.2K

  • Graham, 13+ pts

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $6.4K · Liquidity $6.4K

  • Graham, 15+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $702.4 · Liquidity $392.4

  • Graham, 17+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $417.9 · Liquidity $406.6

  • Graham, 19+ pts

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $357.6 · Liquidity $287.3

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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