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Montana Senate margin of victory

Markets

  • Alme, 10+ pts

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Alme, 15+ pts

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $795.2

  • Alme, 5+ pts

    • Yes82%
    • No18%

    Volume $369.5 · Liquidity $213.7

  • Alme, 20+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $73 · Liquidity $73

  • Alme, 25+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $50

  • Alme, 12+ pts

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Alme, 40+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Alme, 1+ pts

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Alme, 30+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Alme, 35+ pts

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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