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North Carolina's 6th District margin of victory

Markets

  • McDowell, 5+ pts

    • Yes72%
    • No28%

    Volume $937 · Liquidity $312

  • McDowell, 8+ pts

    • Yes57%
    • No43%

    Volume $601 · Liquidity $601

  • McDowell, 11+ pts

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • McDowell, 14+ pts

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • McDowell, 2+ pts

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $105 · Liquidity $105

  • McDowell, 20+ pts

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $100

  • McDowell, 26+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • McDowell, 17+ pts

    • Yes20%
    • No81%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • McDowell, 23+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 6th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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