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North Carolina's 9th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Hudson, 1+ pts

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $230.1 · Liquidity $230.1

  • Hudson, 3+ pts

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $77 · Liquidity $50

  • Hudson, 12+ pts

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $66 · Liquidity $66

  • Hudson, 21+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $6 · Liquidity $3

  • Hudson, 18+ pts

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $2

  • Hudson, 24+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $1 · Liquidity $1

  • Hudson, 15+ pts

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Hudson, 6+ pts

    • Yes45%
    • No56%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Hudson, 9+ pts

    • Yes31%
    • No70%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 9th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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