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New York's 23rd District margin of victory

Markets

  • Langworthy, 26+ pts

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $237 · Liquidity $237

  • Langworthy, 17+ pts

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $205 · Liquidity $205

  • Langworthy, 20+ pts

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $205 · Liquidity $205

  • Langworthy, 14+ pts

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $173 · Liquidity $173

  • Langworthy, 32+ pts

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $45 · Liquidity $43

  • Langworthy, 11+ pts

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Langworthy, 8+ pts

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Langworthy, 23+ pts

    • Yes37%
    • No64%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Langworthy, 29+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 23rd District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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