Pennsylvania's 8th District margin of victory
Markets
Cognetti, 8+ pts
- Yes32%
- No68%
Volume $797.3 · Liquidity $407
Cognetti, 5+ pts
- Yes47%
- No53%
Volume $571 · Liquidity $530.5
Cognetti, 2+ pts
- Yes71%
- No29%
Volume $459.1 · Liquidity $459.1
Cognetti, 14+ pts
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $282 · Liquidity $221
Cognetti, 11+ pts
- Yes23%
- No78%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 8th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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