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Pennsylvania's 16th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Kelly, 27+ pts

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $366.5 · Liquidity $366.5

  • Kelly, 30+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $320.5 · Liquidity $80.5

  • Kelly, 12+ pts

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $300 · Liquidity $200

  • Kelly, 24+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $211 · Liquidity $200

  • Kelly, 21+ pts

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $190 · Liquidity $190

  • Kelly, 3+ pts

    • Yes90%
    • No11%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Kelly, 6+ pts

    • Yes81%
    • No20%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Kelly, 9+ pts

    • Yes70%
    • No31%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Kelly, 15+ pts

    • Yes41%
    • No60%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Kelly, 18+ pts

    • Yes27%
    • No74%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Kelly, 33+ pts

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 16th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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