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South Carolina's 4th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Timmons, 21+ pts

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $295 · Liquidity $295

  • Timmons, 27+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $140 · Liquidity $140

  • Timmons, 15+ pts

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $116.1 · Liquidity $116.1

  • Timmons, 30+ pts

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $75 · Liquidity $25

  • Timmons, 9+ pts

    • Yes85%
    • No15%

    Volume $41.6 · Liquidity $36.6

  • Timmons, 18+ pts

    • Yes40%
    • No61%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Timmons, 24+ pts

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Timmons, 6+ pts

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Timmons, 12+ pts

    • Yes69%
    • No32%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in South Carolina's 4th District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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