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Texas's 12th District margin of victory

Markets

  • Goldman, 19+ pts

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $521 · Liquidity $363

  • Goldman, 25+ pts

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $294.7 · Liquidity $294.7

  • Goldman, 28+ pts

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $285 · Liquidity $205

  • Goldman, 16+ pts

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $204.9 · Liquidity $174.9

  • Goldman, 10+ pts

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $188 · Liquidity $123

  • Goldman, 1+ pts

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $38 · Liquidity $38

  • Goldman, 31+ pts

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $2

  • Goldman, 7+ pts

    • Yes89%
    • No11%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Goldman, 13+ pts

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Goldman, 22+ pts

    • Yes23%
    • No78%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Goldman, 4+ pts

    • Yes93%
    • No8%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 12th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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