Texas's 15th District margin of victory
Markets
Cruz, 1+ pts
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $587.9
Cruz, 4+ pts
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $921.9
Cruz, 7+ pts
- Yes22%
- No78%
Volume $610 · Liquidity $5
Cruz, 13+ pts
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $1 · Liquidity $1
Cruz, 10+ pts
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 15th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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