Who will be Trump's next Secretary of State?
Markets
No other person
- Yes56%
- No44%
Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $556.7
Ric Grenell
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $997 · Liquidity $955
Mike Waltz
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $743 · Liquidity $699
Robert O'Brien
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $696 · Liquidity $636
Bill Hagerty
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $524.6 · Liquidity $506
Resolution rules
If Secretary of State is Bill Hagerty before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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