Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
Markets
Before Jan 20, 2029
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $29.7K · Liquidity $9.1K
Before 2027
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $9.1K · Liquidity $3.2K
Resolution rules
If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes the Republic of China as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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