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Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

Markets

  • Before Jan 20, 2029

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $18.4K · Liquidity $3.9K

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $13.7K · Liquidity $4.9K

  • Before Jan 1, 2028

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $250 · Liquidity $250

Resolution rules

If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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