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Texas: Abbott's margin vs. Paxton's margin?

Markets

  • Abbott by 6-9

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • Abbott by 0-3

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Abbott by 3-6

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Paxton by 0-3

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $968.9

  • Abbott by 9-12

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Paxton by 3+

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $993

  • Abbott by 12+

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K

Resolution rules

If Greg Abbott's margin in the Texas governor election minus Ken Paxton's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is at least 12 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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